Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1329.504505 1516.507776 1725.835842 1978.529962 2276.640278 2618.759750 3043.424235
2025-08-10 1073.034572 1324.231539 1633.454972 2046.504395 2590.453229 3291.744223 4279.813559
2025-08-17 922.565559 1198.479194 1560.139113 2077.614511 2813.545434 3845.382421 5443.518621
2025-08-24 813.171516 1099.437893 1493.668094 2089.750082 2992.631999 4350.916969 6633.878426
2025-08-31 730.312932 1020.931227 1438.159284 2099.544711 3157.940055 4853.129958 7922.920769
2025-09-07 671.604521 967.181301 1407.660777 2136.581714 3363.846073 5448.960561 9506.164856
2025-09-14 600.131507 884.878090 1322.053200 2071.101429 3385.898319 5732.306696 10585.856786
2025-09-21 541.568495 815.478416 1247.387643 2011.065691 3403.667334 6005.070685 11706.723767
2025-09-28 490.093658 751.765510 1174.249268 1942.584245 3392.858470 6217.780787 12752.690738
2025-10-05 470.645780 737.684907 1180.938986 2014.326440 3653.654629 7013.068646 15320.411507
2025-10-12 446.893073 713.865964 1167.980423 2047.514639 3843.261167 7698.288158 17844.173024
2025-10-19 425.334512 691.597760 1155.042305 2078.298908 4031.888165 8419.720228 20704.024756
2025-10-26 403.012160 666.992911 1137.162399 2100.847030 4215.719664 9193.281083 24067.636851
2025-11-02 388.673358 655.438511 1142.363083 2171.398217 4521.069037 10344.284255 29073.554824
2025-11-09 371.085203 636.207123 1130.755750 2204.872172 4746.993020 11352.646464 34114.739222
2025-11-16 352.822133 614.033949 1111.024641 2217.897639 4926.161223 12284.123356 39374.351491
2025-11-23 335.963383 593.039882 1091.433070 2228.413497 5101.171307 13253.754693 45321.328417
2025-11-30 323.446618 579.329734 1085.121598 2268.183498 5360.012265 14551.175851 53399.763679
2025-12-07 301.670023 545.724243 1034.577881 2197.877919 5310.208360 14869.168628 57408.299603
2025-12-14 282.300816 515.546036 988.709006 2133.444973 5266.368707 15200.034354 61723.961417
2025-12-21 263.747356 485.766070 941.309178 2059.979913 5185.264948 15388.158347 65498.246481
2025-12-28 258.955970 483.702859 953.663653 2136.943880 5559.737496 17305.317058 79973.517097
2026-01-04 251.129773 474.744298 949.974914 2172.560457 5817.668588 18888.588706 94045.696197